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The Geopolitics of Ukraine’s Ceasefire Talks

Join us for a meeting of the New York-Russia Public Policy Series, co-hosted by the Harriman Institute at Columbia University and the New York University Jordan Center for the Advanced Study of Russia.


This event is online only. Register for Zoom. Watch on YouTube.

Join us for a meeting of the New York-Russia Public Policy Series, co-hosted by the Harriman Institute at Columbia University and the New York University Jordan Center for the Advanced Study of Russia.

The war in Ukraine has entered a critical phase, marked by shifting military and diplomatic pressures. From the tense Oval Office confrontation during Zelensky’s visit to sign a minerals deal to debates in Europe over deploying peacekeeping troops to Ukraine, ceasefire negotiations continue to evolve. Ukraine and Russia have agreed to a limited 30-day pause in strikes on energy infrastructure; however, a complete ceasefire remains a distant prospect as Putin pushes for broader concessions—including a full cessation of foreign military and intelligence support. How are Kyiv and Moscow adjusting their positions throughout these negotiations? How can we better understand the geopolitical maneuvering behind the ceasefire talks? What are the broader implications for European security and the global order?

This event is supported by a grant from Carnegie Corporation of New York.

Brian Taylor, Professor of Political Science at the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs at Syracuse University; Director of the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs

Olga Onuch, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Manchester

Emma Ashford, Senior Fellow, Reimagining US Grand Strategy Program, Stimson Center

Kathryn Stoner, Mosbacher Director of the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law (CDDRL); Senior Fellow at CDDRL and the Center on International Security and Cooperation at FSI

Moderated by:

Joshua Tucker, Director of the Jordan Center for the Advanced Study of Russia at New York University

Alexander Cooley, Claire Tow Professor of Political Science & Vice Provost for Research, Libraries and Academic Centers, Barnard College

Brian Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and the Director of the Moynihan Institute of Global Affairs at the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, Syracuse University. His research is focused on Russian elite politics and the development of the Russian state, with particular attention to state coercive organizations, such as the military and the police.He is the author of four books on Russian politics: “Russian Politics: A Very Short Introduction” (Oxford University Press, 2024); “The Code of Putinism” (Oxford University Press, 2018); “State Building in Putin’s Russia: Policing and Coercion After Communism” (Cambridge University Press, 2011); and “Politics and the Russian Army: Civil-Military Relations,1689-2000” (Cambridge University Press, 2003).

Olga Onuch (DPhil, Oxford), is a Senior Lecturer in Politics [Associate Professor, Доцент] at the University of Manchester. In 2021 she was visiting CERES at the University of Toronto as a Senior Research Associate. From 2014 to 2020 she was an Associate Member of Nuffield College (Oxford). Since 2017 she has been an Affiliate of, and previously in 2014 a Fellow of, the Harvard Ukrainian Research Institute. In 2017 she was a Visiting Fellow at the Davis Center (Harvard). She is the winner of the 2017 Political Studies Association National Sir Bernard Crick Award for Outstanding Teaching.

 Emma Ashford is a Senior Fellow with the Reimagining US Grand Strategy program at the Stimson Center. She works on a variety of issues related to the future of U.S foreign policy, international security, and the politics of global energy markets. She has expertise in the politics of Russia, Europe, and the Middle East. Ashford is also a nonresident fellow at the Modern War Institute at West Point, and an adjunct assistant professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University.

 Kathryn Stoner is the Mosbacher Director of the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law (CDDRL), and a Senior Fellow at CDDRL and the Center on International Security and Cooperation at FSI. From 2017 to 2021, she served as FSI’s Deputy Director. She is Professor of Political Science (by courtesy) at Stanford and she teaches in the Department of Political Science, and in the Program on International Relations, as well as in the Ford Dorsey Master’s in International Policy Program. She is also a Senior Fellow (by courtesy) at the Hoover Institution.

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